Flawless Product Launch Helps Commercial Success: Consultants
L.E.K. Consulting says that FDA approval for a new drug is no guarantee of commercial success. In a report on lessons learned from the company’s Launch Monitor, L.E.K. says that to drive real value, biopharma companies must execute the launch process flawlessly. “As history shows,” the report says, “many companies fail in this process, due to a combination of factors such as limited market access, poor understanding of market needs, or misjudgment of competitive threats.”
The report lists these executive insights:
- the average peak U.S. revenue of products introduced over the past 15 years is about $800 million, with only 20% reaching U.S. sales of $1 billion and over 50% failing to reach U.S. sales of $250 million;
- on average, products reach about 50% of peak sales by year three and the early year sales are strongly predictive of ultimate peak sales;
- about half of all products launched over the past 15 years have under-performed pre-launch consensus forecasts by more than 20%;
- while performance issues cut across all therapeutic areas, infectious diseases, immunology, and cardiovascular diseases are the therapeutic areas where the most products underperform Wall Street expectations;
- on average, large pharma companies’ product launches have average peak revenues 50% higher than those of smaller players;
- small companies are more likely to underperform expectations than larger companies and the difference in revenue performance is magnified in diseases driven by primary care channels; and
- early launch planning, effective stakeholder engagement, better forecasting, and highly disciplined execution can help address barriers and better manage Wall Street expectations.